poll of polls

New leaders, new poll, and a new crusade for ACT. But will it end any differently? And what of the other small parties?

If I was a cartoonist today I'd be digging out the old Don Quixote images, like this one, and placing Jamie Whyte and David Seymour on their respective steeds.

The tide goes out slowly, but it does go out.

National and its dwindling supply of allies have almost exactly the same level of support as the left-leaning combination of Labour and the Greens, our latest poll of polls shows. This result mirrors the individual results of two TV polls, both published yesterday, showing a very close result.

Our poll of polls continues to show a slow drop in National's fortunes, and an increasingly positive outlook for Labour and the left more broadly.

Three recent polls have provided fairly different stories about the current political landscape. Here is what we see when we average out all the polls in the pundit Poll of Polls: National sits a little above 45%, less than a point above the combination of Labour (32%) and the Greens (12.3%).

Our poll of polls confirms National’s poor showing over the Budget period. Looking ahead, the advantage probably lies with Labour and the Greens

The first full round of opinion polls since the Budget is out, and the trend in our poll of polls is clear: gains for the left and losses for National. National is down almost two points since we last reported the poll of polls on April 30, while Labour is up over two points and the Greens up a touch as well.

For your statistical, nostalgic pleasure.

This page archives our chart of poll-of-poll estimates from the measure's inception in early 2008 through to the 2011 election.