The Conservatives have now found their turangawaewae - they're offering the same but different whereas Peters has to figure out how to sell his 'wait and see' approach to coalition
Read MoreNew Zealand First
Who says organisation, says oligarchy
If a political party doesn't want you, can you get a court to tell it that it has to have you?
Read MoreDirty polls, what Winston wants & debates
The latest poll suggests trust issues are moving some voters, the risk of giving Peters what he wants and debate expectations...
Read MoreA happy, happy poll for the big four
It's the kind of poll that says what they want it to say. But it's only one poll
Read MoreMate, has Winston put the Conservatives in check?
Winston Peters has just moved his King to East Coast Bays and put Labour and the Greens' capital gains tax pawns under threat...proof that New Zealand First is still a player
Read MorePlenty of ironies in latest polls
The latest polls show that Colin Craig, Winston Peters and perhaps even the Maori Party have something in common... the need for Labour to do better
Read MoreCoalitionally speaking – a look at scenarios on the right
The ins and outs of possible coalitions on the left are far more absorbing, but Alex asked for it... so here's my humble take on some of the coalition issues facing the right (and a sneaky mention of Shane Jones)
Read MoreUnderlying perceptions and the Cunliffe crisis: Poll analysis
It's getting late in the day for Labour to get it together, because its problems aren't first impressions but rather go much deeper
Read MoreUnderlying perceptions and the Cunliffe crisis: Poll analysis
It's getting late in the day for Labour to get it together, because its problems aren't first impressions but rather go much deeper
Read MoreNZ First conundrum - the road more or less travelled
New Zealand First, we know, could go either way. And this weekend we learnt a little more about what Peters and his crew will be considering if they end up as the pivot party
Read MoreACT tilts at windmills, but don't forget other minors
New leaders, new poll, and a new crusade for ACT. But will it end any differently? And what of the other small parties?
Read MoreThe last post... for 2013, polls update & moments of the year
So what's 2013 been all about and where does it leave us? Here's my take... and Christmas wishes
Read MoreThat's the past – a little bit the same, but mostly different
In which I respond to Andrew's post responding to Claire column and add my thoughts on how history repeats... or not
Read MoreJohn Key: tips his Conservative hand, reveals a 'many baskets' strategy for next election
Why National could save itself by losing some support, how John Key is strategising for next year, where Colin Craig's Conservatives fit and what it means for the other minor parties...
Read MorePoll of Polls update – stopping the rot & what Winston wants
We've got the latest polls all mixed up together and come up with some thoughts on Winston Peters and a bunch of questions for you to discuss. So off you go...
Read MoreMy outlook for 2014: Your guess is good as mine
Inspired by the rash of speculation this week, I figured it's time I gave people a chance to make fun of me a year or two from now by giving my take on where we stand ahead of next year's election
Read MoreAnd the winner of the Ikaroa-Rāwhiti by-election is ... Winston Peters?
The Ikaroa-Rāwhiti by-election result is bad news for the Maori Party. That's good news for Winston Peters and New Zealand First.
Read More"Wogistan" - Richard Prosser crosses the line
Robust free speech must be strenuously protected, but a written rant by a New Zealand First MP goes beyond defensible lazy thinking to racist insult, and must be condemned
Read MoreThe art of not predicting politics
Matthew Hooton has done a 180 degree turn on his prediction for the 2014 election. Yet the new prediction seems as risky as the last one
Read MoreWinston Peters and his OTHER bottom line
Winston Peters got a weekend of great publicity out of a "bottom line" that is ultimately meaningless. But in the midst another bottom line emerged that may be harder to wriggle out of
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